Almost every year, there is at least one artist who ultimately takes home that elusive Oscar. In 2022, jessica chastain won for “The Eyes of Tammy Faye” after two prior nominations, and, in 2020, Joaquin Phoenix “Joker” prevailed after three previous bids. Expect this year to be no different – we’ve got a whole crew looking for their first Oscar win after years of nominations, near-misses, or just plain snubbing. Here are half a dozen contenders who could break that path this year and win the long-awaited Oscar.
annette bening – “Nyaad” (Netflix)
Tell: Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi And jimmy chin
Co-starring: Jodie Foster, Rhys Ifans
Release date: October 20 in theaters, November 3 on Netflix
Rotten Tomatoes score: 85%
“64 year old marathon swimmer, Diana NyadAttempting to become the first person to swim from Cuba to Florida.
Bening has been nominated for four Academy Awards throughout her career. Her first bid came in 1991 for Best Supporting Actress for “The Grifters”. She subsequently received three Best Actress nominations – in 2000 for “American Beauty”, in 2005 for “Being Julia” and in 2011 for “The Kids Are All Right”. She won Golden Globes for “Being Julia” and “The Kids Are All Right,” and SAGs and BAFTAs for “American Beauty,” so she came close to winning an Oscar on two occasions. She is hoping to earn her fourth Best Actress bid and the fifth nomination of her career for her lead role in the biographical sports drama, in which she plays the famous American long-distance swimmer.
Playing a real-life person is a great way to go – many actors have earned Best Actress bids for playing real people. ana de armas Was nominated to play last year Marilyn Monroe In “Blonde”, while the year before that three actresses had been nominated for playing real women – Kristen Stewart ace Princess Diana In “Spencer” nicole kidman ace Lucille Ball In “Being the Ricardos”, and to play the winner, Chastain Tammy Faye Baker In “The Eyes of Tammy Faye”. Benning could join that crowd. She’s in a good spot at the moment – she rounds out our current predicted nominees for Best Actress, which include Emma Stone (“poor things”), Lily Gladstone (“Killers of the Flower Moon”), carey mulligan (“Master”), and margot robbie (“Barbie”).
Bradley Cooper – “The Master” (Netflix)
Co-starring: Carey Mulligan, Matt Bomer, Maya Hawke, Sarah Silverman
Release date: 2023 – 22 November
Rotten Tomatoes score: 84%
“The complicated love of leonard And FeliciaFrom the time they met at a party in 1946 and continuing through two engagements, 25 years of marriage and three children.
Anyone with nine Oscar nominations can consider themselves unlucky not to win a single Academy Award. He has been nominated for three Best Actor Oscars (for “Silver Linings Playbook” in 2013, “American Sniper” in 2015 and “A Star is Born” in 2019), and a Best Supporting Actor Oscar for “American Hustle” in 2014. Has been done Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay for “A Star Is Born.” Additionally, he has four Best Picture nominees as a producer: for “American Sniper,” “A Star Is Born,” “Joker” in 2020, and “Nightmare Alley” in 2022. But, still, he has not won a single Oscar. 9-0.
At some point this needs to change, and why not for his main role leonard bernstein In “Master”, which he also directs? He’s playing a real-life person, which always fascinates Oscar voters. Austin Butler Was nominated for playing the lead role in “Elvis”. the year before that, Will Smith won to play Richard Williams While in “King Richard” javier bardem Was nominated to play desi arnaz In “Being the Ricardos” and Andrew Garfield Was nominated to play jonathan larson “Tick, tick…boom!”
Plus, it’s a transformative performance, which we voters also love – Brendan Fraser Won last year for “The Whale” Christian Bale Was nominated for “Vice” in 2019 gary oldman won to play winston Churchill In last year’s “Darkest Hour.” As of right now, we think Cooper will be nominated for Best Actor Paul giamati (“The Holdovers”), colman domingo (“Rustin”), cillian murphy (“Oppenheimer”), and Leonardo Dicaprio (“Killers of the Flower Moon”).
willem dafoe And mark ruffalo – “Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures)
Tell: Yorgos Lanthimos
Co-starring: Emma Stone, Remi Youssef, Jerrod Carmichael, Margaret Qualley
Release date: 8th December
Rotten Tomatoes score: 96%
“The incredible story about the fictional evolution of Bella Baxter, a young woman who is brought back to life by the brilliant and unconventional scientist Dr. Godwin Baxter.”
Two incredible actors with an abundance of Oscars to their name, mostly in supporting roles. We believe both of them will be nominated for Best Supporting Actor for their roles in “Poor Things.” Dafoe will play Dr. Baxter, who brings Bella back to life, while Ruffalo will play Duncan Wedderburn, a cunning lawyer with whom Bella runs away. Ruffalo has received three nominations in this supporting category so far, for “The Kids Are All Right” in 2011, “Foxcatcher” in 2015 and “Spotlight” in 2016. Three very different performances, but no victory. Dafoe has also received three nominations in this category – for “Platoon” in 1987, for “Shadow of the Vampire” in 2001 and for “The Florida Project” in 2018. He has also received a Best Actor nomination for “At Eternity’s Gate” in 2019.
Both of these performances seem to be very colorful roles for the actors to showcase their talents, similar to other scenery-chewing roles in the supporting actor category, such as last year’s winner, ke hui quan (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”), 2022 Nominated J.K. simmons (“Being the Ricardos”), and 2021 nominees Sacha Baron Cohen (“The Trial of the Chicago 7”). And don’t worry about both artists competing against each other in the same category – that’s often the case in this category.
Last year, Brendan Gleeson And Barry Keoghan Both were nominated for “The Banshees of Inisheerin”, while the year before, jesse plemons And Kodi Smit-McPhee Both were nominated for “The Power of the Dog”. In fact, Dafoe and Ruffalo could be the male equivalents of Lanthimos’ Stone and Rachel Weisz, who received supporting actress bids for her previous film “The Favourite”. Currently, we predict that these two will be nominated together this year Robert Downey Jr. (“Oppenheimer”), Robert De Niro (“Killers of the Flower Moon”), and Ryan Gosling (“Barbie”).
Robert Downey Jr. – “Oppenheimer” (Universal)
Tell: christopher nolan
Co-starring: Cillian Murphy, Emily Blunt, Matt Damon, Florence Pugh
Release date: July 21, 2023
Rotten Tomatoes score: 93%
“The story of the American scientist J. Robert Oppenheimer And their role in the development of the atomic bomb.”
Downey Jr. has become a Hollywood veteran due to his role as Tony Stark aka Iron Man in the MCU. But people often forget how good of an actor this guy is, even though he’s also given an Oscar-worthy performance as Tony in the MCU, anyway (his performance in “Captain America: Civil War” is excellent). Downey Jr. has two Oscar nominations to his name so far – one for Best Actor for “Chaplin” in 1993 and the other for Best Supporting Actor for “Tropic Thunder” in 2009. He will be seeking a third nomination this year. supporting category for his role louise straussNaval officer and businessman who served two terms on the U.S. Atomic Energy Commission and was a leading figure in the development of nuclear energy in the States.
Downey Jr. could join several cast members to earn a nomination for appearing as a real-life person in a lead supporting role, such as Daniel Kaluuya (who won) and lakeith stanfield in 2021 for “Judas and the Black Messiah”, the same year Baron Cohen for “The Trial of the Chicago 7” and al Pacino And joe pesci In “The Irishman” last year. Downey Jr. tops our odds chart for this category.
Paul Giamatti – “The Holdovers”
Tell: alexander payne
Co-starring: Da’Vine Joy Randolph, Carrie Preston, Dominic Cessa
Release date: October 27, 2023
Rotten Tomatoes score: 96%
“Disliked Deerfield Academy teacher, Paul Hanham, has been put in charge of supervising students who are unable to return home for Christmas due to no family. However, he is forced to deal with a particularly rebellious student, Angus.
Giamatti was completely denied an Oscar nomination for Best Actor for his stellar performance in 2005’s “Sideways.” He was nominated for a Golden Globe, SAG, and Critics’ Choice Awards for that performance, but missed an Oscar bid. Since then, Oscar has always been indebted to him, this writer firmly believes. In fact, he has only had one Oscar bid in his illustrious career. That was in 2006 for Best Supporting Actor for “Cinderella Man,” for which he won SAG and Critics’ Choice Awards, so he may have come close to an Oscar win. Giamatti reunited with his “Sideways” director, Payne, to play the lead role of Paul. If his performance is half as good as his performance in “Sideways,” he’ll definitely be in the mix. In fact, we currently predict that he will be nominated for Best Actor along with the other mentioned names in our predicted lineup for this category.
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