How Donald Trump snatched ‘momentum’ from Kamala Harris. usa elections

He motion It is to American politics what it is to flamenco art: It comes or it doesn’t come, and there’s no point in forcing it. Political strategists, journalists, pollsters and other experts on the campaign pitting Donald Trump against Kamala Harris are trying to understand whether Trump is living his life or not. motionWhat they call in Washington increased voting, which is caused by a certain alignment of circumstances and stars. Resolving that doubt is important, because nine days before the election, it could be the definitive push to return to the White House after four years the man who left office after inciting an insurrection on January 6, 2021.

Trump has been improving in the polls nationally and in seven key states over the past five weeks, and that has helped him narrow the narrow margin that his Democratic opponent had over him in a fight that was otherwise practically Has proven immune. Sensational incidents in recent months, including two assassination attempts. Forecasts, which also predict a tie in electoral votes (a scenario unprecedented for 20 years), show the totals to be so close that it is not possible to draw any definite conclusions about what will happen on November 5.

Before this, for weeks, motion It was Harris whose entry into the campaign for re-election as President of the United States following Joe Biden’s resignation in July improved the hopes of a party with a much older candidate who was steering the ship towards disaster. Had been. The replacement created a stir that his popularity as Vice President was not to be taken lightly. And so millions of dollars in donations, thousands of volunteers and widespread support from celebrities created a campaign in record time around the words “freedom”, “when we fight, we win” and a commitment to the future. Versus the return to the past that the Trumpist slogan defends make america great again (Let’s Make America Great Again).

But summer gave way to autumn, and caterpillar effect It was getting colder. The pressure of the Democratic National Convention in Chicago in August and a good performance in the only debate held on September 10, in which Trump agreed to face him, were the last spurts of a campaign that has since seemed to be losing its momentum.

words and deeds

Then came the face-off between the vice presidents, in which the Democratic nominee, Tim Walz, fell into almost all the traps of his opponent, J.D. Vance, who managed to project a moderate image on key, amid mutual displays of courtesy. Issues such as abortion (the complete ban of which Vance has advocated in the past) were presented to the audience he was describing himself as. Also came one of those phrases for which the Democrat will be remembered in this campaign: It was when Harris was asked in an interview, otherwise quite friendly, if she had been in charge for the last four years would she have done anything different from Biden. Does. , “Right now I can’t think of anything specific,” the candidate said, as if his aides haven’t passed on surveys that say most voters are dissatisfied with the country’s progress, especially with the economy, and that they blame those for the problems. The United States still owes to the President.

Another big paradox of this campaign is the difference in the weight of the words of the two rivals. While a single phrase seems capable of shattering the Democrats’ chances of victory, everything Trump says, no matter how crazy, translates into a loss of support in the polls. Neither the hoax that Haitian immigrants to Springfield (Ohio) eat their neighbors’ pets, nor the constant threats of revenge against their political enemies, nor the flirtation with Hitler. Even this week he didn’t weirdly admire the genitals of legendary golfer Arnold Palmer.

It’s as if Trump’s followers take their leader seriously, but they don’t always take him literally. The last test took place this Friday at the last minute, with the publication of a three-hour conversation between the Republican candidate and the announcer. podcast The most famous in the United States is Joe Rogan, who refused to interview the former president in 2022 because he considered him a “threat to democracy.” According to Rogan, it was the first assassination attempt at an outdoor rally that changed his mind. In the conversation between the two, Trump said that he saw no reason to rule out life on Mars, assured that there was “probably a lot of fraud” in the surveys, and once again stressed that against Biden The election he lost was a robbery. Despite this, judges have repeatedly rejected it. “Those judges did not have the ability to overturn the election,” he said.

Noting that words are of little use to her, Harris — who has raised the tone of her speech these days to the point of calling her opponent a “fascist,” while the most progressive among her people have asked Trump to Disappointed liberals have ruined their courtship with Republicans – will stick to the facts next Tuesday. The Democratic nominee has called for a campaign event on the Ellipse of the White House in Washington, the same land south of the presidential residence where his opponent held a rally on January 6, 2021 that led to the attack on the Capitol.

Harris, who is burning through what cartridges of fame she has left (only this week she brought Beyoncé and Bruce Springsteen on stage), hopes voters will remember what American democracy means before handing power back to anyone. What happened on that dark day of Joe Biden, who has promised to be a “dictator on day one” in the Oval Office? However, it is not clear that this “democracy is in danger” rhetoric is going to give Democrats good results in the 2022 legislative elections. Polls then predicted a “red tide” (red is the color of Republicans in this country) that was going to allow them to gain comfortable control of both houses, but the waters did not rise that much.

Tuesday’s event, for the time being, is the most symbolic of Harris’s final phase of the campaign, with this Saturday she plans to be in Philadelphia, the state’s most populous city, with former first lady Michelle Obama in Decatur, Pennsylvania, and next Thursday. He has a rally in Phoenix with the stalwarts of northern music Los Tigres del Norte.

The same day, Trump will give a live interview to far-right television personality Tucker Carlson in Glendale, a municipality next to Arizona’s capital. For the rest of the week, Republican candidates will make final visits to areas ranging from Georgia to Wisconsin or Nevada that will decide the presidency of the United States. Who among the two will make it to the weekend before the final vote? motion This is one of the largest unknowns of a close election in the recent history of the United States.