More than 78 million people voted in the US by early 2024. Three conclusions from this data

(CNN)- Pre-election voting is ending across the country, with many states ending in-person voting early over the weekend.

More than 78 million votes have been cast in 47 states and the District of Columbia, according to data collected by CNN, Edison Research and Catalyst, a company that provides data, analysis and other services to Democrats, academics and nonprofit advocacy groups. Information about who will vote before November is also included.

The data provides information about who is likely to vote before election day, but does not predict election outcomes. For example, we don’t know who people are voting for, and the data doesn’t include the millions of Americans who will go to the polls on Tuesday.

But with less than 24 hours left for voting to begin on Election Day across the country, here are three big things to know about those who have decided to vote before November 5.

Across the country, far fewer voters decided to vote before Election Day this year than in the pandemic-era 2020 election.

Four years ago, more than 110 million Americans voted in person or by mail—about 70% of all who voted in that election.

We won’t know the total number of 2024 voters for weeks until all the results are in, but pre-election voting is expected to account for about 50% of all ballots, a split in the electorate that will continue in the 2022 midterms. Is similar to. Election.

While overall pre-election voting has declined, more voters in some states opted to vote in person in early 2020.

In the key states of North Carolina and Georgia, record numbers of voters participated in in-person early voting. However, overall pre-election voting in both states was lower than in 2020 as significantly fewer people chose to vote by mail.

Voting by mail was a particularly popular option during the pandemic, as voters chose to avoid crowds at in-person polling places. However, in both states, it is more difficult to vote by mail now than it was four years ago.

Republicans won a larger share of the pre-election vote than in 2020. Trump’s campaign made more efforts this year to encourage Republicans to vote early and by mail, a major change from Trump’s pre-election voting message in 2020.

In the 27 states for which Catalyst has comparable data, registered Democrats cast 37% of pre-election votes, while registered Republicans cast 35%. This is a significant decrease in the partisan gap since 2020, when at the same time and in the same state, registered Democrats had a 12 percentage point advantage: 42% to 30%.

In four of the seven key states that decide the presidential election, voters register by party, and in all of them Republicans have represented a larger share of the pre-election vote than in the same period four years ago. Democrats in these states have decreased their turnout overall compared to 2020.

In Arizona, 41% of pre-election voters have been Republican, an increase of 4 points from 2020. Democrats represent a 33% proportion, down 3 points from four years ago.

Nevada Republicans have increased their share by just 1 point since 2020, to 37%, while Democrats have seen their share there decline compared to four years ago, from 38% at this point in 2020 to 34% now.

In North Carolina, where Trump met with supporters on the final day of his campaign, Republicans received 33% of the vote in pre-election voting, up from 31% in 2020. First.

And crucially in Pennsylvania, Republicans represented 33% of the pre-election vote, 10 points more than in 2020, while Democrats represented 56%, 10 points less.

Even though Republicans represent a larger share of pre-election voters now than they did four years ago, recent CNN polls have generally shown Vice President Kamala Harris ahead among voters who voted in favor of the controversy, except in Nevada. Have already cast your vote in every state. ,

In the seven most competitive states, the gender gap appears to be similar to the 2020 and early 2022 elections.

Overall, about 1.8 million more women than men voted in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, according to Catalyst data. However, the gap is smaller than four years ago. That’s because fewer people voted early overall, but also because the percentage difference is smaller.

The most pronounced gender gap is in Georgia: women cast 56% of the votes in early voting, while men cast 44%. In Arizona, women cast 52% of the early votes, while men cast 46%. And in North Carolina women cast 56% of early votes compared to 44% of men.

The gender gap was narrowest in Nevada: women cast 51% of early votes, while men cast 47%.

In Pennsylvania, possibly the state that could decide the race, women represented 56% of early voters. At the same time, women represented 57% of the votes cast before the elections in 2022 and 2020.