On the final day of the Euro 2024 group stage, many unresolved issues remain to be resolved. Spain and Portugal already know that they are first in the group. Meanwhile, other teams such as Germany also qualify for the round of 16, although they do not know whether they are first or second in Group A. Poland is the only team that has already been eliminated.
Germany She has already been classified, although she has yet to determine whether she is first or second. In case of a win or draw with Switzerland, they will be first.
Swiss is in a controversial situation. They will reach the round of 16 if they avoid defeat to Germany (even if they beat Mannschaft they could be first) or if Scotland fail to beat Hungary. If they lose and Scotland win, it will be decided by tiebreaker criteria: goal difference, then most goals scored, then disciplinary points, then European qualifying rankings.
Scotland They qualify for the round of 16 as runners-up if they beat Hungary and Switzerland lose to Germany, subject to the above criteria being met. Scotland will not qualify for the last 16 if they lose.
Hungary They will not finish in the top two and will not qualify for the last 16 unless they beat Scotland.
Spain It is already classified and awaits a challenger from one of the best third parties in the ADEF groups.
Italy They will be second and therefore qualify for the second round unless they lose to Croatia. Italy will not qualify for the round of 16 if they lose and Albania beats Spain.
Albania They will reach the round of 16 second if they beat Spain and Croatia beat Italy, although you’ll need to keep an eye on overall goal difference, goals scored, disciplinary points or European qualifying rankings. Albania will not qualify for the round of 16 if they lose or draw, while Croatia beat Italy.
Croatia It will advance to the round of 16 as second in the group if it beats Italy and Albania does not beat Spain (if Albania also wins, Croatia and Albania will tie for second and third place according to the criteria above). Croatia will not qualify for the round of 16 if they lose or draw, while Albania picks up points against Spain.
England They will advance to the second round if they avoid defeat to Slovenia or if Denmark fails to defeat Serbia. England will be top of the group if they beat or draw Slovenia and Denmark don’t win. If England draw and Denmark win, they will share first and second place on overall goal difference, goals scored, disciplinary points and qualification for European qualification. England cannot be lower than third.
Denmark They will advance to the second round if they beat Serbia. If Denmark and Slovenia are tied, second and third places will be tied according to the criteria described above, as well as first and second place if Denmark and Slovenia win (or Denmark and England if Denmark win and England tie), or third and fourth place. if Denmark and Slovenia lose. Denmark will not qualify for the second round if they lose, while Slovenia will avoid defeat.
Slovenia They will advance to the second round if they beat England. Slovenia will win the group if they win, but Denmark will not. If Slovenia and Denmark win, they will share first and second place according to the criteria described above, as well as second and third place if both are tied, or third and fourth place if both lose, or Slovenia and Serbia. taking third or fourth place. place if Slovenia loses and Serbia draws.
Serbia They will advance to the round of 16 if they beat Denmark and Slovenia do not beat England (if Serbia and Slovenia win, Serbia will be third behind England in the individual competition). If Serbia draws and Slovenia loses, they will share third and fourth places according to the criteria described above. Serbia will not qualify for the second round if they lose or draw, while Slovenia will avoid defeat.
France They will advance to the second round (among the first two) if they avoid defeat by Poland or if Austria fails to defeat the Netherlands. France will be first in the group if they win, but the Netherlands will not. If France and the Netherlands win or draw, they will share first and second place according to the above criteria, and the same will happen for second and third place if they both lose.
Netherlands They will advance to the round of 16 (among the top two) if they avoid defeat by Austria. The Netherlands will win the group if they win and France don’t, or if they draw and France lose. The Netherlands will be second if they draw and France win. If the Netherlands and France win or draw, they will share first place on overall goal difference, goals scored, disciplinary points and European qualifying standings. Likewise, if the Netherlands and France lose, they will tie for second and third place based on the same criteria.
Austria They will advance to the round of 16 (among the top two) if they beat the Netherlands. Austria will be first if they win, but France won’t. If Austria draws and France loses, Austria will become third behind France in head-to-head history.
Poland It has already been eliminated.
This group is very close-knit. Any of the four teams could advance to the round of 16, including a four-point quadruple tie if both games are tied on the final day.
Romania They will reach the 1/8 finals if they beat Slovakia and become first. It would only be second place if Belgium also beat Ukraine. The draw with Slovakia opens up great opportunities. If they lose, they will be eliminated if the other match is a draw or if Ukraine beat Belgium as they will not be eligible for one of the top third places.
Belgium They will advance to the round of 16 if they beat Ukraine, and first if Slovakia fails to beat Romania. The draw with Ukraine opens up a wide range of possibilities. If they lose, they will be eliminated from the tournament if the other match is tied or if Romania defeats Slovakia, as they will not be able to qualify for one of the best third places.
Slovakia They will advance to the round of 16 if they beat Romania and finish first. This would only be second place if Ukraine also beat Belgium. The draw with Romania opens up great opportunities. If she loses, she will be eliminated if the other match is a draw or if Belgium beat Ukraine, as she will not be able to claim one of the best third places.
Ukraine They will reach the round of 16 if they beat Belgium and will also be first if Romania fails to beat Slovakia. The draw with Belgium opens up great opportunities. If she loses, she will be eliminated if the other match is tied or if Slovakia beat Romania, as she will not be eligible for one of the top third places.
Portugal They are already the team that reached the round of 16 and first in the group after beating Turkey to gain six points.
Türkiye They will advance to the 1/8 finals if they beat the Czech Republic or draw with the Czechs. IF they lose they will be in trouble because if Georgia also beat Portugal they will be relegated.
Czech Republic needs to win to reach the round of 16: it will surpass Turkey, and if Georgia beats Portugal, it will have to go to tiebreaker criteria to see which team finishes second in the group. A draw would leave them with two points and it would be very difficult to finish among the top four third players.
Georgia The situation is similar to that in the Czech Republic. They need to win and hope the Czechs beat Turkey but also finish with a better overall goals average than the Czech Republic. In the event of a surprise win over Portugal, a draw in the other match would not be worth it as Turkey would be second and Georgia third.
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