Stock markets will open the last session of the week on the negative side. Ibex 35 falls by 0.6% and loses 11,900 points. Yesterday the select fell 0.77%, weighed down by falls in banks and most major securities after the European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates by a quarter point. From Monday to Thursday, the Spanish selective gains 1.5%.
Those who rise the most:
Fluidra: 1.6%
ArcelorMittal: 1.4%
Acerinox: 1.1%
Values that fall the most:
Index: -1.3%
Telephonics: -1%
Cellnex: -0.9%
The Nikkei index fell 0.02%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index added 1% and the Shanghai Composite index added 0.6%. Today the central bank officially launched a swap program aimed at stimulating the stock market.
Yesterday, Wall Street ended mixed, with tech stocks up sharply, led by chip maker Taiwan Semiconductor Company. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.37%, the benchmark S&P 500 fell 0.02% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq rose 0.04%.
Miguel Angel Garcia, investment director at Diaphanum: “The ECB’s decision on interest rates was not a surprise. There were no plans to revise economic data forecasts at this meeting. The President has not changed her speech and is subordinating the next rate cut to published economic data, ruling out that the eurozone will go into recession and that a soft landing is more likely. Consequently, he did not comment on whether a new rate cut would be decided at the next ECB meeting on December 12. In our view, the ECB should be more aggressive in cutting interest rates as expected eurozone growth is very low, less than 1%, and inflation has fallen in recent months. Let’s hope this doesn’t happen like a rise in inflation that they didn’t expect. Unlike the Fed, its goal is to bring inflation to 2%, unlike the US Federal Reserve whose goals are 2% inflation and maximizing employment. Despite this, it would be highly undesirable if this led the eurozone into stagflation.”
Hugo Le Damany and François Cabau, economists at AXA IM: “Beyond the higher-than-expected inflation trough in September, the ECB’s announcements were slightly biased toward weaker-than-expected activity. We continue to expect weak domestic demand to lead to headline inflation, which is expected to remain below the ECB’s target for most of 2025. This justifies (much) less restrictive monetary policy. Pending the release of more data ahead of the ECB’s December meeting, we are maintaining our base case scenario of sequential rate cuts of 25 basis points until June 2025. We cannot rule out that the ECB will decide on a larger step in December (or later).”
The euro rose slightly to $1.0842.
Brent crude, Europe’s benchmark, rose 0.40% to $74.73 a barrel.
The yield on 10-year Spanish bonds remains stable at 2.9%.
Stock markets – Currencies – Debt – Interest rates – Commodities
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