The Labour Party is preparing for a hard landing in the United Kingdom government | International

Election polls in the United Kingdom predict a victory for Labour Party candidate Keir Starmer this Thursday, with a greater number of seats than Tony Blair’s historic win in 1997. However, general sentiment in the United Kingdom suggests that the enthusiasm among citizens will not be as intense as it was felt at the end of the Conservative cycle and the time of change of government…

Election polls in the United Kingdom predict a victory for Labour Party candidate Keir Starmer this Thursday, with a greater number of seats than Tony Blair’s historic win in 1997. However, general sentiment in the United Kingdom suggests that the enthusiasm among citizens at the end of the conservative cycle and the change of government will not be the same as that experienced when the new Labour Party came to power.

Four years leading the main opposition party have given Starmer a comparative advantage: his image of toughness, responsibility and seriousness, compared with the smarmy demeanour of Boris Johnson or the irresponsible neoconservative radicalism of Liz Truss.

In turn, on his journey to the centre, in order to move away from the deep shift to the left imposed by his predecessor, Jeremy Corbyn, and so as not to scare away the middle class, the Labour candidate has decided to keep bolder pending issues And turn the key seven times. With the risk that they will all return seeking revenge.

First, Brexit. Starmer has promised a mild improvement in relations with the EU, without even remotely proposing a return to the Twenty-Seven Club or its internal market and common customs area. There is nothing to talk about restoring the free movement of citizens.

Taxes: The Labour Party agreed not to raise corporate or income tax. Not even VAT. At most, he announced that he would end the privileged tax regime for billionaires who live in London but maintain their official residence elsewhere in the world. And the tax on private capital gains will rise, the figure of which has not yet been specified. Experts say it does not seem that such a timid tax policy helps finance the great promises of “national renewal” raised by Starmer.

“Like the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats, the Labour Party is engaging in a conspiracy of silence about the difficulties it will face. And these are challenges that appear with stark clarity on the horizon,” warns Paul Johnson, director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies analysis centre. “The usual reaction of expressing surprise and shock at the state of public finances will not be the only response after the election,” he predicts.

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A similar problem would arise with immigration. The Labour candidate has promised to scrap Rishi Sunak’s Rwanda deportation plan, which never got off the ground. And he announces the creation of a joint border control command to end the flow of ships into the English Channel. But he is unable to say what he would do with the asylum seekers who already live in overcrowded so-called floating prisons. Bibby Stockholm, The huge boat used by the government to hold newly arrived people. And more than 40,000 people are expected to arrive on English shores this year.

“Instead of facing the big shots and trying to win through arguments, the Labour Party has done everything possible to shut them down on the wrong foot. And that means the ground has been adequately prepared,” says author, historian and journalist Andrew Marr in the weekly The New Statesman,

Commitment to development

The United Kingdom’s political changes are happening rapidly. If the Conservatives lose, Sunak will likely travel to Buckingham Palace on Friday to submit his resignation to King Charles III. Starmer will then go there to receive the monarch’s command to form a new government. And a few hours later he will appear before the media outside the doors of Number 10 Downing Street to deliver his first speech to the nation.

His acquaintances and colleagues have given him the nickname No Drama Starmer (Starmer the Undramatic, pronounced with an exaggerated English accent, New drama Estama), for his opposition to turning politics into a permanent spectacle. It is very likely that the central message of his first remarks as prime minister will be the need to roll up your sleeves and get to work.

The Labor Party won five seats. National MissionFor which he wants to launch an inter-ministerial commission that will shape them as soon as possible: economic growth, reform of the National Health Service (NHS, for its acronym in English), reform of the police and penal systems to achieve cleanliness, streets safe, a national energy company – Great British Energy – founded on the basis of affordable renewable energy and improving vital opportunities for all citizens.

On July 17, Charles III will make an announcement to Parliament King’s Speechthe ceremony by which the head of state presents all the policies that the government wants to develop to the new legislature. A day later, everything suggests that Starmer, as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, will attend the fourth summit of the European Political Community at Blenheim Palace, an imposing building where Winston Churchill spent his childhood, and where the new British leader will have the opportunity to begin to demonstrate his attitude and his willingness to interact with the rest of European leaders.

Behind Starmer’s commitment to growth is the rigorous planning of a whole team of professionals and senior officials who have been preparing for landing for months and are led by Sue Gray, the permanent deputy secretary of Boris Johnson’s cabinet, who wrote a devastatingly offensive report on the ban on parties in Downing Street during the pandemic. As the Labour leader’s chief of staff, she has drawn up a list of problems that the new government will face during the first 100 days, and possible responses. Civil servants who will immediately demand a pay rise and threaten new strikes. Bosses who will move against reforms to urban planning laws. Or an unexpected increase in irregular immigration flows.

“If the country votes for change and supports the Labour Party, we will act immediately and take the first steps towards that change,” Starmer promised in his final campaign message on Wednesday. “Economic stability, improved public health with 40,000 extra appointments every week and a new joint border protection command to end the boat crisis. More energy security to ease family expenses, 6,500 more teachers in our schools and a tough crackdown on crime,” he announced.

The Labour Party will have little time to celebrate, aware of a double reality that is equally harsh: its potential victory is the result of the will of the majority of Britons to destroy the Conservative legacy. The task of building back, in particular through the electoral result, will suit Starmer’s new team. And the monster of the populist right of Nigel Farage and the Reform UK party, the result of the errors of 14 years of governance, will depend on its good execution. ToryDo not rise again with new strength.

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