The third day of the Champions League has ended, and the conclusion is this: there are almost no conclusions.. Atlético is bad, but they have the easiest opponents left and it would be a cataclysm not to pass. Madrid and Barça are smiling, although they already have a defeat that is very costly.. The classification is full of deceptions, although it is becoming closer to reality. It will be difficult to guess where they will shoot until two more days have passed, although we can already shout something from the rooftops: Liverpool and Aston Villa are practically teams, at least in the 1/8 finals.. Relevo’s estimate, based on competitions of a similar format and results in the Champions League in previous years, is that the classification in the round leading up to the round of 16 will be close to 7 points. An amount that has already been surpassed by two Englishmen. Of course, both, especially Liverpool, started the season with the intention of directly sealing their place in the round of 16.
In any case, the Aston Villa situation should be taken with a grain of salt. No one can take anything away from Emery’s team, especially with him returning to Europe many years later. But… They have already faced Young Boys and Bologna, two of the easiest opponents on their calendar.. What makes it special is that they beat Bayern Munich, a giant who, be warned, is in serious trouble.
¿We would have thought the same about England if they had lost to Kompany and his team.? Probably not. And we would also see him outside the 16-position round. This is a simple example to think about: already overcoming your most difficult or intermediate fights is not the same as winning your most modest ones, in those points that you already had before the start of the season.
Truths and lies about the new Champions League deception
The case of Liverpool is another player with a win total.is slightly more encouraging for them: they beat Milan at the San Siro, Leipzig in Germany and Bologna at Anfield. Perhaps two of them will be listed as dangerous, and if they get three points, they will become top students. We can say that its classification is one of the most realistic that exists today..
Third-placed Monaco believe they have beaten Barca although they still have to do their homework in their league. And Brest continues to remain a lie that is difficult to detect for another week. Which, be careful, does not take any credit away from him: he is where he deserves to be and has taken giant steps to secure the round of 16, his great goal.. Now for this reason we expect them to finish in the top four… They have beaten Sturm Graz and Salzburg and their great result is a draw with Leverkusen.
Xabi Alonso’s men definitely failed, although a victory over Milan and at home to Feyenoord allows them to sleep peacefully. Just like Manchester City: their goal is to avoid the 1/16 finals, and their failure against Inter is natural. So yes, if you look at each of the teams at the top of the standings individually.The few conclusions that can be drawn are that rushing is not recommended.
Dortmund scored and were king until it was their turn to visit the Bernabeu.. Arsenal failed again in Europe when they failed to go beyond a draw in Bergamo, and now they deserve praise. And we look at the table, and there are dozens of examples…
Is there any drama with Bayern or PSG?
We repeat: after three days and with different calendars, regardless of the results, there is no clear conclusion. But the required point projections for the various qualifying strata already include some great players in the list. Bayern Munich started out winning 9–2 and have now miraculously qualified for qualification with just three points to their name. Do you have cause for concern? Yes and no. Their two defeats came against two great teams in Aston Villa and Barcelona, both of which were away defeats. Now, if to reach the 1/8 finals you need to score 16-17-18 points, then the Kompany team already needs a lot of victories. And it’s really dizzying…
Classification, of course, is something else. With two wins from six games, the Germans should get there and things should look bad for them. PSG is also not in a particularly encouraging situation: it could not beat PSV and lost to Bayern. To make matters worse, the win over Girona was minimal, and in the event of a draw the goal difference was sky-high.. Your case is truly dramatic, and the answer is already on the calendar. Luis Enrique is yet to visit the Allianz Arena to host Atletico Madrid and Manchester City. If he loses against Salzburg or Stuttgart, he will be destined to fail.
Again, another confidence: it doesn’t matter that they’ve already fallen twice. One more win and one draw may be enough to advance to the next round, even if two more games are put into the already worn-out legs of the players.
The Spaniards breathe… except Atlético
The only valid method for analyzing the classification of these characteristics is to rank teams according to their respective potential. and study the calendar for its asymmetry. Thus, the situation of the four Spaniards is very similar: none of them are particularly good, but not bad either. What’s more, it’s entirely possible that all four would sign… despite the fact that none of them are in the top eight.
Barcelona is the closest. In fact, it’s in ninth place. The defeat to Monaco was an unexpected setback that was brilliantly resolved by defeats to Young Boys and Bayern. The goal is to avoid round 32 and defeat one of the toughest opponents.. To top it all off, he has one of the best goal averages in the competition.
Real also have six points and an acceptable goal difference (+4), although with slightly colder feelings than Barcelona. The defeat to Lille was not among their weakest opponents. A victory over Dortmund could enter the realm of logic, especially at the Santiago Bernabeu.. However, the team is well positioned for the top 8.
Atlético Madrid seems to be shouting to itself that the 1/16 finals are not so bad. The events in Leipzig were a highlight that quickly faded away. Benfica’s victory was dramatic: defeat by Lille at home and the substitutes… Two such falls when there is still Leverkusen and PSG predicting that the top eight places will be difficult. Although there will be “easy” points against Sparta Prague, Salzburg or Slovan Bratislava.
Was Atlético’s goal to reach the top eight? Likely. Did you already feel that it would still be difficult? Why would they categorically refuse to advance to the 1/8 finals? No. Yes, very bad, but the pass remains available.Girona is classified, although this is a matter of details. His situation is also not alarming. The fall at the Parc des Princes was expected and the three points at home between Slovan Bratislava and Feyenoord was perhaps a little less than expected.but without falling into alarmism. He has no choice but to take advantage of the trips of PSV or Sturm Graz and try to get some money against Liverpool, Milan and Arsenal. Here we return to expectations: the goal of Michel’s team is to enjoy, survive and the sixteenth. Don’t suddenly become a giant.
This is a new Champions League, where it’s no longer as simple as looking at the table and seeing how things stand.. A ray of light begins to appear in the giant gray scale: two teams are virtually classified for the next stage.
Check the Champions League classification.
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