Trump’s landslide victory in Iowa paves the way for his nomination as the Republican presidential nominee International

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis campaigned for months in all 99 Iowa counties. Entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy visited them all twice. Former President Donald Trump is on the verge of victory in 99. He lost by one vote against Nikki Haley in Johnson County — 1,271 to 1,270, according to the provisional count, where the University of Iowa is located. Except that vote, Trump has won a perfect victory in the Iowa caucuses. ,

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis campaigned for months in all 99 Iowa counties. Entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy visited them all twice. Former President Donald Trump is on the verge of victory in 99. He lost against Nikki Haley in Johnson County, where the University of Iowa is located, by one vote — 1,271 to 1,270, according to the provisional count. Except that vote, Trump has won a perfect victory in the Iowa caucuses. His landslide victory with 51% of the votes practically swept his rivals in the first round and paved the way for his nomination as the Republican candidate for the presidential election on November 5, 2024.

In his celebration speech, Trump had good words for everyone except the president, Democrat Joe Biden. He already sees himself competing to return to the White House. caucus Iowa has shown that Trump is fireproof in the face of scandals and allegations among the Republican Party base. He won 51% of the vote, a record for a candidate who has not competed for the presidency. He’s about 30 points ahead of Ron DeSantis (who gets 21.2%) and more than Nikki Haley (19.1%). As if that wasn’t enough, the fourth in contention, millennial Trumpist Vivek Ramaswamy (7.7%), has conceded defeat and offered his support to the former president.

Trump may have taken 20 of the 40 delegates in Iowa, but he has taken much more than that. He has shown that the surveys giving him a 50 point advantage across the country are serious. He has proven that his strategy of not participating in debates with the other candidates and presenting himself as if he is the sitting President works. He has taken advantage of his visits to court by presenting himself as a martyr (this Tuesday he received an appointment in New York in a civil case of sexual assault and defamation). He has run a campaign claiming responsibility for the attack on the Capitol on January 6, 2021, and calling the perpetrators of that act “hostages.” With his undeniable charisma and leadership, he makes his voters enthusiastically commit to his cause. He has made it clear that there is no scope for surprise in this.

After the victory in Iowa, the next stop is New Hampshire. Former Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley was expected to finish second in Iowa, which would certify her as having rising value ahead of her appointment in a state where polls give her more than 30% of voting intentions (Trump has is more than 40%). In New Hampshire, Haley has the support of Governor Chris Sununu and inherited voters from retired Trump opponent Chris Christie. However, after the Iowa results it looks like everything has been decided before it even started.

Trump won with low turnout. Polar cold, temperatures as low as 20 degrees below zero, forced many people to stay indoors in Iowa this Monday. Just over 110,000 votes have been counted, up from more than 180,000 in 2016 and less than 120,000 in 2020, when there was no interest because the then-president had no real competition.

According to surveys, Trump, who asked his supporters to vote for him even if he died trying, had the most enthusiastic followers. Haley was the least active and this may have caused her to slip to third place. Although the cold and snow theoretically made it more difficult for rural voters, Trump has shown that he is a favorite of Republicans in the cities as well.

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According to polling this Monday in Iowa, his support is somewhat lower among moderate Republican voters, who partly support Haley, and among anti-abortion activists, who prefer DeSantis. He also has somewhat less support among young people.

Biden vs Trump

“It looks like Donald Trump just won Iowa. He’s the clear favorite over the other side at this point. But the thing is: This election was always going to be you and me against MAGA extremist Republicans. That was true yesterday. And that will be true tomorrow,” Joe Biden tweeted after the results came in.

Haley tried to connect Trump and Biden. “There are more similarities than you think,” he told his followers after the speech this Monday. caucus, And after recalling that both are nearly 80 years old (Biden is 81 and Trump is 77), he added: “They have no vision for the future of our country, because both are obsessed with the past, the investigations, are bent upon vengeance.” , for complaints. This Tuesday, his campaign began airing ads in New Hampshire with those messages.

DeSantis took a breather from second place, but his chances in New Hampshire are poor. He hasn’t given up yet, but no one sees that he has any way of defeating Trump. Theoretically, Iowa was his ideal state: white, conservative, religious… If he’s 30 points behind Trump there, where will he be able to beat him?

Trump doesn’t have much time to celebrate his victory. This Tuesday he was appointed to a New York court for a civil trial in the case of sexual abuse and defamation of the writer E. Jean Carroll, which the former President has described as “pure fiction”, although he has been convicted for the first time. Was ordained. , “After the historic victory in Iowa, I am going to fight the false case of a woman I have never met, seen or touched in a witch hunt encouraged by Biden in Lower Manhattan,” he wrote on his social networks. “Naturally, it starts right after Iowa, and during the all-important New Hampshire primary, where, despite their appalling efforts, I will be tonight! “This is a huge election interference scam, which has been promoted and financed by political agents,” he said.

Trump’s victory in Iowa was so spectacular that the Associated Press, Reference on the Case and the data teams of most television stations declared his victory when many caucus Voting had not even started yet, voting started only half an hour after the assemblies were convened. The agency reported that early results from eight counties show an insurmountable and overwhelming margin in Trump’s favor.

Unlike states with primaries, in caucus In Iowa, there are generally no ballot boxes – some participants collect votes in an informal manner – nor is there a fixed time at which voting ends. Some meetings may end in a few minutes, while others may take time to determine the outcome. AP speaks when he feels there is no doubt. And this time, there was no doubt.

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