Ukraine and Trump’s plan to end the war – DW – 11/20/2024

Donald Trump has not yet presented any official plan for how he intends to stop the war in Ukraine. During the election campaign, he assured that he would end it “within 24 hours”.

newspaper wall street journal One of the plans was recently reported citing sources close to Trump, with Ukraine not joining NATO for at least 20 years, in exchange for Washington asking Kiev to prevent Russia from launching new attacks. Will continue to send arms to.

According to the above newspaper, the aim of all proposals would be to “prevent” the war, which would mean a Russian occupation of about 20 percent of Ukrainian territory.

For its part, rotary Wire He indicated that Trump could demand that European troops defend a roughly 1,300-kilometre-long zone that would serve as a buffer between the forces of Ukraine and Russia.

discussion on social networks

Meanwhile, in Ukraine it can no longer be ruled out that, after Trump’s inauguration, the United States could impose on Ukraine an unacceptable scenario, which, after the “end of the war”, would amount to a “covert Russian occupation” of Ukraine. Can cause.

“It’s ridiculous to read this optimistic illusion about how Trump will rein in Russia, hand over weapons and end the war. I think, with his election victory, we have already lost. His method is to compromise with an aggressor, A terrorist, a genocide and a war criminal,” wrote a user with the pseudonym “Dragonfly” on the X platform.

The Ukrainian wrote, “I think everything will just work out. Trump will say he ‘fixed everything’. He will stop funding Ukraine and say everything else is Europe’s responsibility. At the end of the day , Ukraine is part of Europe.” Journalist Andries Herasim on Facebook.

“The best option for us is for Europe to come to its senses and start adequately financing its defense,” says Oleksij Kopytko, a military expert and former adviser to the Ukrainian Defense Ministry. In his opinion, this would mean that Europe should support Ukraine economically in order to deter Russia, which he believes would be compatible with Trump’s approach.

Trump’s arrogance

Some people in Ukraine are betting on Trump’s hubris. He says he cannot afford to lose the war in Ukraine, because a victory for Vladimir Putin would be a serious blow to the power of the United States. Ihor Rejterovich of Taras Shevchenko University in Kiev believes Trump will help end the war on fair terms, even if it requires some concessions.

“Two-thirds of his voters support Ukraine in its war against Russia. If Trump makes concessions to Russia, it will be perceived extremely negatively, even among his own radicals. Because Trump talks about a ‘Great America.’ Let’s talk in, which implies restoring the geopolitical influence of the United States and its corresponding role in the world today, ”says the political scientist, adding that, in his opinion, Trump’s boasting could benefit Ukraine.

willingness to talk increases

At the same time, he did not deny that Trump’s team is promoting contradictory statements and different scenarios to test the reactions of Europe, Ukraine and Russia to possible proposals to end the war.

Meanwhile, due to the worsening of the situation at the front, exhaustion and constant bombing of cities, a large part of Ukrainians are beginning to change their minds when it comes to negotiations with Russia.

This was confirmed by a survey in September. At the end of 2023, 21 percent of those surveyed supported dialogue with Russia. Now it has become 35 percent. However, as sociologists emphasize, a relative majority of 48 percent continues to refuse negotiations.

(ers/ms)