The US presidential election is being decided in seven major states. Polls indicate that 226 Electoral College votes for Kamala Harris and 219 for Donald Trump are almost certain, but 270 are needed to be elected President. The seven states that are up for election elect 93 representatives who will balance the vote. Among them, the most important is Pennsylvania (19 electoral votes), followed by Georgia and North Carolina (16 each), Michigan (15), Arizona (11), Wisconsin (10) and Nevada (6). There are many combinations to reach 270. This interactive map allows you to simulate different scenarios.
* Between 2020 and 2024, the electoral map of the United States (i.e., the number of representatives elected in each state or electoral district) has changed. For example, California had 55 delegates in 2020, increasing to 54 in the 2024 presidential elections.
Thus, in the ‘2020 Results’ option shown here by default, states are shown that Democrats and Republicans won in 2020, but the electoral votes for each are summed with the new assignment of delegates that Elections will be held in every state and district in 2024.
According to the latest average of surveys conducted by EL PAÍS, and whose predictions by state are shown on this map, Donald Trump now has a 56% chance of winning the presidential election on November 5, compared to 44% for Kamala Harris.
Development and Programming: carlos munoz
design: Ignacio Povedano
art direction: Fernando Hernandez
Coordination: the joy of being
Reasoning and development of predictions: Kiko Llaneras, Luis Sevillano and Jose A. Alvarez
(Tags to translate) US election
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